Articles
In-depth guides and analysis to help you make better betting decisions.
Flora vs Levadia: Levadia -1 handicap at 1.80
Today at 19:00 at A. Le Coq Arena: Levadia have already won the title but promise to field their best squad. Flora's recent games have been very inconsistent and two defenders are injured.
Read more →Epicbet's Epic Jackpot is at €313,000 and still undrawn
As of 13 October, Epicbet's biggest jackpot stands at €312,999.53 and hasn't been drawn yet. The Mega jackpot paid out €47,036.28 as recently as 12 October.
Read more →Estonia vs Iceland: Iceland -0.75 handicap at 1.72
Estonia host Iceland in Tallinn on 6 October at 21:45 — Iceland have scored six goals without reply in their last two games.
Read more →September results: fewer bets, but +50.6% ROI
7 bets, +5.57 units profit and +50.6% ROI — September lost a week to the international break, but quality carried the lack of quantity.
Read more →Betting idea: Joonas Tamm under 30.5 minutes in Estonia's next two games
Estonia play away at Iceland and Bulgaria this week — here's why Joonas Tamm's minutes-played market could be worth a look.
Read more →My xG vs the supercomputer: what Opta can't see
Opta's xG weighs 35+ factors — and four things still slip through: penalties, chances without a shot, tight offsides, and game state. Here's how I read xG differently.
Read more →Is Tony Bloom's betting syndicate finding future top players in Estonia's league?
Promise David, Guilherme Smith and Pierre Landry Kaboré — three Meistriliiga players who moved to clubs linked to Tony Bloom, one of them now at Brighton. Coincidence or pattern? A look at what the facts say — and what they don't.
Read more →Friday's matches: three possible scenarios across Estonia's top 3 leagues
Three interesting matches today across Estonia's top three leagues — a look at a few possible scenarios worth keeping in mind when betting.
Read more →UEFA Youth League: Flora clear home favourites against the Faroe Islands
Flora Tallinn face H. Bóltfelag at A. Le Coq Arena today at 19:00 — grass vs artificial turf, experience vs youth. Bookmakers aren't offering odds yet, but it's worth watching in-play.
Read more →The Maardu investigation is a good reminder: research what you bet on
The Estonian FA has opened a disciplinary investigation into Maardu Linnameeskond over possible match-fixing and betting. A good moment to remember why it pays to know which teams and matches you're putting money on.
Read more →Premium League: Levadia -1 looks like a safe pick against Paide
Paide face Levadia today — Paide's big absences in defence and Levadia's deep squad make Levadia -1 handicap look like a safe pick to us.
Read more →Premium League: Nõmme Kalju 0 is worth trying against Flora
Flora face Nõmme Kalju tomorrow — we see Kalju as the stronger side in this one, and Kalju 0 on the Asian handicap looks like slight value to us.
Read more →Premium League: Tammeka is already breathing down Flora's neck — why +1 handicap looks too generous
Flora face Tammeka today — Tammeka have already beaten Flora twice this season and are in good form, while Flora have lost 3 of 4 since their coaching change.
Read more →August results: +30.5% ROI and one clear lesson
11 bets, +4.58 units profit, and +30.5% ROI — a look at what carried the month and what didn't.
Read more →Estonian Small Cup: why Paide Linnameeskond III are clear favourites against Harju JK Laagri U21
Kicking off today at 17:30, the Small Cup final should be a clear favourite spot for Paide III, who field several Premium League-experienced players.
Read more →What is xG (Expected Goals) and how it makes your bets better
13 years of betting experience and building my own xG model, distilled — how we read expected goals and how we actually use it to place bets.
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